2026-07-13 KR Live Revision Board — Forecast Range Evolution

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Live revision tracking of same-target 12:20 KST forecasts across four checkpoints (initial → 09:21 → 09:47 → 09:58), with translucent Low–High forecast ribbons, dashed Base evolution, and solid actual path.

KOSPI 12:20 Forecast Range

Checkpoint Low Base High

첫 12:20 예측 (initial) 7,460 7,560 7,665

09:21 수정 7,320 7,400 7,480

09:47 수정 7,200 7,280 7,370

09:58 최신 (latest) 7,180 7,240 7,320

09:58 actual: 7,266 — within the latest 12:20 forecast range (7,180–7,320). Base shift: −320 pt from initial.

Key Drivers

• WTI +4.03% ($74.29) — oil shock, persistent pressure

• SK Hynix −8.12% (2,003,000) — approaching circuit breaker territory

• Samsung Electronics −3.86% (274,000) — consecutive support breaks at 280,000/276,000

• KOSDAQ +1.63% (851) — selective rotation into small/mid caps

• Wonik IPS +8.64% (135,800) — AI/semicon equipment demand resilience

Samsung Electronics 12:20 Range

Checkpoint Low Base High

Initial 283,000 289,000 296,000

Latest 09:58 269,000 273,000 278,000

09:58 actual: 274,000 — inside revised range. Base shift: −16,000.

SK Hynix 12:20 Range

Checkpoint Low Base High

Initial 2,150,000 2,340,000 2,540,000

Latest 09:58 1,960,000 2,000,000 2,050,000

09:58 actual: 2,003,000 — inside revised range. Base shift: −340,000. Largest single-driver revision.

Revision Narrative

• Initial: constructive, NVDA/Samsung strength expected to carry KOSPI

• 09:21: oil shock detected, SK Hynix gap-down, first downward revision

• 09:47: Samsung direction reversal (+1.23% → −0.88%), foreign selling accelerating, second downward revision

• 09:58: failed recovery confirmed, SK Hynix approaching ₩2,000,000 psychological support, third downward revision — ROUT phase

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No broker / no order / no transfer. Private forecast research; forward-validation ledger only. All ranges are same-target 12:20 KST predictions; actual values are real-time KRX observations.